MOHALI: This match is going to be the biggest for the entire World Cup as two arch-rivals, India and Pakistan, are going to take on each other.
If they were writing scripts, this is how they would have done it. First, let three of the four sub-continent teams make it to the quarter finals, with the fourth, Bangladesh, falling agonisingly short.
Next, they had the main hosts India beat the reigning champions Australia in a close match to effectively pass the baton. Then they had New Zealand upset South Africa to make sure that the chances of having 2 sub-continent teams in the final are very high. Then they had India vs Pakistan in the semi finals.
India will go in as favourites, if for no other reason than this is held in India and they are the main hosts; but as the team that topped Group A and then crushed West Indies in their quarter final match Pakistan will be a real chance here. When these two nations play cricket matches against each other, rankings and form don’t seem to matter a heck of a lot. They are always close, always classic encounters. The final itself may not be as exciting. And both teams would fancy themselves against either Sri Lanka or New Zealand.
The location chosen is Punjab, close to the border between the two nations, which Pakistan fans will be very happy about. Expect an influx of Pakistani fans to pour in and the stands to be almost equally full of green and blue shirts.
India had a tough opponent in their quarter final match in Australia and the match showed just how tough they were. India got over the line, after Australia failed to capitalise on a good start and failed to go for their shots and then, in spite of taking 5 wickets, generally didn’t bowl to their potential. India got over the line – but fairly closely too. They were 5 wickets down with some real bunnies to come and there weren’t too many overs to spare. They were also 5 wickets down fairly early on in their chase. But the fact of the matter is that under pressure they got over the line. This will help them for this crucial encounter, if anything with even more pressure on them than against Australia.
Pakistan were meant to be troubled by West Indies but West Indies seemed to be still in party mode while Pakistan were clinical in their destruction of one of the best batting line ups going. India’s batting line up will be stronger again but Pakistan will be confident that if they can bowl West Indies out for 112 then they can get rid of India for perhaps 150. And, with them getting the runs against West Indies without losing a wicket, they would hope for a similar effort against India.
It is really hard to predict this match. On one hand, Pakistan’s batting is incredibly brittle and they will struggle to chase more than about 200, certainly more than 250. On the other hand, India’s bowling is quite terrible and that may boost Pakistan’s batting abilities. Shahid Afridi and Abdur Razzaq have failed to really do anything with the bat in the World Cup so far and yet they are both fully capable of winning a match off their own bat. Pakistan could be in trouble and one or both of them could perform to win Pakistan the match.
And yet this Indian bowling attack is much improved. Zaheer Khan in particular has been leading it while Ashwin and a number of others have performed. Yuvraj Singh has been so consistent that he has been used as a 5th full-time bowler of late, allowing India to play 7 front-line batsmen.
India’s top order have been pretty solid but they have tended to collapse at the bottom. Granted it has been when they already had 300-odd runs on the board, if not more; but against a great bowling team like Pakistan it could well be a lot earlier.
Shahid Afridi has also been Pakistan’s top wicket taker – indeed the best in the entire World Cup. After 3 great matches early, he then fell away a bit for 3 matches before being great again against West Indies. Yet he is an all-rounder, more in there for his powerful batting than his bowling. Can his bowling really be relied on? Or is he due for a failure?
Virender Sehwag looked out of sorts against Australia but surely is due for a big one. While Sachin Tendulkar just keeps on producing but is yet to have his 100th international century; and surely this match would be the perfect time to do it – unless he waits for the final, of course.
Pakistan have lost 1 match all tournament – against New Zealand – while India have lost 1 – against South Africa and tied 1 – against England, both teams who made the quarter finals but failed to progress. Pakistan are, sort of, in slightly better form; but India will probably be favourites – just.
If you thought that the India-Australia match up was exciting, this is about 10 times as exciting.
For me, India are less likely to fall apart than Pakistan and in a match of nerves I think that that will get them over the line in a thriller.
Best Of Luck INDIA...